Sabah vs Kapaz Prediction & Tips

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Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa Regular Season - 31 Bank Respublika Arena Friday, May 8, 2026 15:30

Sabah PPG 2.40

0-1 MISS

Kapaz PPG 0.73

Over3.5· +6.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 71.2%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -11.0%

Draw 20.8%

Odds: 4.80 EV: -0.1%

Away 8.0%

Odds: 9.75 EV: -13.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.53 -5.6%

Over 3.5 46.3% Odds: 2.30 +6.5%

BTTS 48.2% Odds: 1.85 -10.8%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 4-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Sabah

2.98

Kapaz

0.52

Model SuggestionHome -11.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-11.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away POOR (0.73) - Strong consensus