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Imisli vs Zira Prediction— Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa

Regular Season - 31 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 12:30

Imisli

PPG 0.57 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Zira

PPG 1.64 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.2%0-117.7%0-211.0%0-34.6%0-4+1.9%1 1-010.1%1-112.5%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-03.6%2-14.4%2-22.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.8%3-11.0%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.5% 28.6% 3.50 -8.6%

Draw 29.8% 33.9% 2.95 -7.2%

Away win 45.6% 47.6% 2.10 -4.2%

Over 2.5 35.2% 39.2% 2.55 -10.2%

Over 3.5 13.4% 22.2% 4.50 -23.8%

BTTS 48.2% 47.6% 2.10 +1.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 32 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 69%

ROI 23.6%

Bet Hit 74%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.2%

A 46% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0✓ 14.2%

#2 0–1 17.7%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–2 11.0%

#5 1–0 10.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Imisli0.7

Zira1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.2% · O3.5 PROB 13.4%

Form & verdict PPG

IMISLI · PPG 0.57

ZIRA · PPG 1.64

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.64) vs Home POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Imisli (H) 24.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.6%

Draw 29.8%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -7.2%

Zira (A) 45.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -4.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Imisli face Zira in Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Imisli a 25% chance, the draw 30% and Zira 46%, so Zira are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Imisli and 1.2 for Zira (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Imisli are averaging 0.57 points per game versus 1.64 for Zira. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +1.2%. This match finished 0-0.

Imisli vs Zira Prediction— Azerbaijan - Premyer Liqa

Match Preview & Prediction

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