Semen Padang vs Persik Kediri Prediction & Tips

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Indonesia - Liga 1 Regular Season - 32 Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim· Padang Friday, May 8, 2026 08:30

Semen Padang PPG 0.80

0-3 MISS

Persik Kediri PPG 0.47

Home· +3.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.7%

Odds: 2.90 EV: +3.5%

Draw 28.4%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -0.4%

Away 35.9%

Odds: 2.10 EV: -24.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.77 -17.7%

Over 3.5 21.1% Odds: 2.95 -22.7%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.62 -15.3%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Semen Padang

1.13

Persik Kediri

1.23

Model SuggestionBTTS -15.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -15.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+3.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.80) > Away POOR (0.47)