Al Shabab vs Al Nassr Prediction & Tips

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Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Regular Season - 33 Al-Shabab Club Stadium· Riyadh Thursday, May 7, 2026 18:00

Al Shabab PPG 1.27

2-4 MISS

Al Nassr PPG 2.31

Draw· +10.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 12.8%

Odds: 7.75 EV: -0.5%

Draw 21.6%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +10.0%

Away 65.6%

Odds: 1.33 EV: -12.8%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.35 -16.7%

Over 3.5 55.8% Odds: 1.90 +6.0%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.55 -8.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-3 ✘

2nd 0-2 ✘

3rd 1-3 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-4 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Al Shabab

0.95

Al Nassr

3.00

Model SuggestionAway -12.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-12.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5/Under 56%

BTTS/No 56%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -4.1%

Bet Hit 55% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.31) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)