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Georgia - Erovnuli Liga logo Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga Regular Season - 11 Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena· Tbilisi Thursday, May 7, 2026 16:00
Dinamo Tbilisi logo Dinamo Tbilisi PPG 0.60
2-1 MISS
Spaeri logo Spaeri PPG 1.75
Away· +40.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.6%
Odds: 1.85 EV: -34.1%
Draw 28.5%
Odds: 3.00 EV: -8.7%
Away 35.9%
Odds: 3.90 EV: +40.0%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.05 -6.1%
Over 3.5 18.1% Odds: 3.34 -23.7%
BTTS 51.6% Odds: 1.83 -5.6%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-0
3rd 0-1
4th 1-0
5th 1-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Dinamo Tbilisi
1.04
Spaeri
1.16

Model Suggestion

BTTS -5.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -5.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+40.0%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
66%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.60)

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