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Lyngby vs Hvidovre Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Promotion Group - 25 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Lyngby

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Hvidovre

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.3% vs bookmaker-implied 52.1% — a clear edge.

+10.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.4%0-15.6%0-22.9%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.1%1-110.5%1-25.4%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.6%2-19.9%2-25.1%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.0%3-16.2%3-23.2%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-14.5%4+-22.4%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.3% 52.1% 1.92 +10.0%

Draw 22.3% 29.9% 3.35 -25.3%

Away win 20.4% 27.0% 3.70 -24.5%

Over 2.5 56.0% 55.6% 1.80 +0.8%

Over 3.5 33.6% 33.9% 2.95 -0.9%

BTTS 54.8% 60.6% 1.65 -9.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -5.4%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.8%

H 57% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 1–0 10.1%

#3 2–1✓ 9.9%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyngby1.9

Hvidovre1.0

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.0% · O3.5 PROB 33.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LYNGBY · PPG 2.00

HVIDOVRE · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.92)

Win probability 1X2

Lyngby (H) 57.3%

ODDS 1.92 · IMPLIED 52.1% EV +10.0%

Draw 22.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -25.3%

Hvidovre (A) 20.4%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -24.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyngby face Hvidovre in Denmark - 1. Division on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyngby a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Hvidovre 20%, so Lyngby are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Lyngby and 1.0 for Hvidovre (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyngby are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.92 for Hvidovre. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +10.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Lyngby vs Hvidovre Prediction— Denmark - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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