Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / Dassendorf vs Halstenbek-R.

Dassendorf vs Halstenbek-R. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 24 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 17:00

Dassendorf

PPG 2.27 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O3.5

Halstenbek-R.

PPG 0.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.0%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.7%1-10.6%1-20.3%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-02.1%2-11.8%2-20.8%2-30.2%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.1%3-13.5%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-035.3%4+-130.3%4+-213.0%4+-33.7%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 83.8% — — —

Draw 9.6% — — —

Away win 6.6% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 90.1% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)5.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 84% / xG 5.8-0.9 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–0 7.0%

#2 5–1 6.0%

#3 4–0 6.0%

#4 4–1 5.1%

#5 3–0 4.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dassendorf5.8

Halstenbek-R.0.9

COMBINED 6.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 90.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DASSENDORF · PPG 2.27

HALSTENBEK-R. · PPG 0.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.27), Away POOR (0.27) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Dassendorf (H) 83.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 9.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Halstenbek-R. (A) 6.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dassendorf face Halstenbek-R. in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dassendorf a 84% chance, the draw 10% and Halstenbek-R. 7%, so Dassendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.8 for Dassendorf and 0.9 for Halstenbek-R. (6.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dassendorf are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 0.27 for Halstenbek-R.. This match finished 3-1.

Dassendorf vs Halstenbek-R. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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