Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / Sasel vs HT16

Sasel vs HT16 Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 13:00

Sasel

PPG 1.75 · HOME

4 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

HT16

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.3%0-20.5%0-30.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-00.3%1-11.1%1-21.8%1-31.9%1-4+3.4%2 2-00.7%2-12.1%2-23.4%2-33.6%2-4+6.5%3 3-00.8%3-12.6%3-24.3%3-34.6%3-4+8.2%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-16.8%4+-210.9%4+-311.7%4+-4+21.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.6% — — —

Draw 20.0% — — —

Away win 33.4% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 91.8% — — —

BTTS 99.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-6

xG (home)3.8 xG (away)3.2 BTTS prob99.9%

H 47% / xG 3.8-3.2 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 100%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–3 4.6%

#2 4–3 4.3%

#3 3–2 4.3%

#4 4–2 4.0%

#5 3–4 3.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sasel3.8

HT163.2

COMBINED 7.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 91.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SASEL · PPG 1.75

HT16 · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Sasel (H) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HT16 (A) 33.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sasel face HT16 in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sasel a 47% chance, the draw 20% and HT16 33%, so Sasel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.8 for Sasel and 3.2 for HT16 (7.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-3. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 100% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sasel are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.00 for HT16. This match finished 4-6.

Sasel vs HT16 Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

More Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg Predictions