Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / Niendorfer TSV vs Teutonia O.

Niendorfer TSV vs Teutonia O. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 12:00

Niendorfer TSV

PPG 1.27 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Teutonia O.

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-12.0%0-21.7%0-31.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.1%1-15.4%1-24.7%1-32.8%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.2%2-17.4%2-26.5%2-33.8%2-4+2.4%3 3-03.9%3-16.7%3-25.9%3-33.4%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-05.1%4+-18.9%4+-27.8%4+-34.5%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.1% — — —

Draw 22.9% — — —

Away win 26.0% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.4% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob66.7%

H 51% / xG 2.7-1.7 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.4%

#2 3–1 6.7%

#3 2–2 6.5%

#4 1–1 5.4%

#5 3–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Niendorfer TSV2.7

Teutonia O.1.7

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.4%

Form & verdict PPG

NIENDORFER TSV · PPG 1.27

TEUTONIA O. · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.27), Away AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

Niendorfer TSV (H) 51.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Teutonia O. (A) 26.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Niendorfer TSV face Teutonia O. in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Niendorfer TSV a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Teutonia O. 26%, so Niendorfer TSV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Niendorfer TSV and 1.7 for Teutonia O. (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Niendorfer TSV are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.27 for Teutonia O.. This match finished 2-0.

Niendorfer TSV vs Teutonia O. Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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