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Nikola Tesla vs Dassendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 33 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 12:30

Nikola Tesla

PPG 0.94 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O3.5

Dassendorf

PPG 2.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 3.5

Combined xG of 6.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.2%0-10.9%0-22.2%0-33.5%0-4+16.1%1 1-00.3%1-11.4%1-23.2%1-35.2%1-4+23.7%2 2-00.2%2-11.0%2-22.4%2-33.8%2-4+17.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.5%3-21.2%3-31.9%3-4+8.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.6%4+-31.0%4+-4+4.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 11.1% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 67.5% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 87.0% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)4.8 BTTS prob63.0%

A 68% / xG 1.5-4.8 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–4 6.2%

#2 1–5 5.9%

#3 1–3 5.2%

#4 2–4 4.5%

#5 2–5 4.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Nikola Tesla1.5

Dassendorf4.8

COMBINED 6.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 87.0%

Form & verdict PPG

NIKOLA TESLA · PPG 0.94

DASSENDORF · PPG 2.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs Home POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Nikola Tesla (H) 11.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dassendorf (A) 67.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Nikola Tesla face Dassendorf in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Nikola Tesla a 11% chance, the draw 22% and Dassendorf 68%, so Dassendorf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Nikola Tesla and 4.8 for Dassendorf (6.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-4. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Nikola Tesla are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 2.06 for Dassendorf. This match finished 1-2.

Nikola Tesla vs Dassendorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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