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Suderelbe vs Vorwarts-Wacker Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 34 ·Friday, May 15, 2026, 17:00

Suderelbe

PPG 1.63 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Vorwarts-Wacker

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.1%0-21.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-01.9%1-13.6%1-23.5%1-32.3%1-4+1.7%2 2-03.0%2-15.8%2-25.6%2-33.7%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.2%3-16.2%3-26.0%3-33.9%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-111.0%4+-210.8%4+-37.0%4+-4+5.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.5% — — —

Draw 22.0% — — —

Away win 24.5% — — —

Over 2.5 78.8% — — —

Over 3.5 75.6% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob66.7%

H 54% / xG 3.2-1.9 / O2.5 79% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.2%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 5.8%

#4 2–2 5.6%

#5 4–1 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Suderelbe3.2

Vorwarts-Wacker1.9

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.8% · O3.5 PROB 75.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SUDERELBE · PPG 1.63

VORWARTS-WACKER · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.63) vs P(Home)=53.5%

Win probability 1X2

Suderelbe (H) 53.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vorwarts-Wacker (A) 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Suderelbe face Vorwarts-Wacker in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Friday, May 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Suderelbe a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Vorwarts-Wacker 25%, so Suderelbe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for Suderelbe and 1.9 for Vorwarts-Wacker (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Suderelbe are averaging 1.63 points per game versus 0.75 for Vorwarts-Wacker. This match finished 4-2.

Suderelbe vs Vorwarts-Wacker Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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