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Bani Yas U23 vs Al Wahda U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 3 ·Monday, August 31, 2026, 13:55

Bani Yas U23

PPG 1.82 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Wahda U23

PPG 1.32 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWW ··

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 60.8% vs bookmaker-implied 59.2% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.8% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.7%0-24.8%0-32.3%0-4+1.2%1 1-07.5%1-110.9%1-27.9%1-33.8%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.9%2-26.4%2-33.1%2-4+1.5%3 3-03.3%3-14.8%3-23.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.8%4+-22.0%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 50.0% 2.00 -21.6%

Draw 24.4% 28.6% 3.50 -8.8%

Away win 36.5% 32.3% 3.10 +13.2%

Over 2.5 59.6% 51.3% 1.95 +16.2%

Over 3.5 36.4% 31.8% 3.14 +14.3%

BTTS 60.8% 59.2% 1.69 +2.8%

Home O1.5 48.1% 48.5% 2.06 -0.9%

Away O1.5 42.2% 36.2% 2.76 +16.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob60.8%

H 39% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 61%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 2–0 6.1%

#5 2–2 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bani Yas U231.6

Al Wahda U231.4

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.6% · O3.5 PROB 36.4%

Form & verdict PPG

BANI YAS U23 · PPG 1.82

AL WAHDA U23 · PPG 1.32

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.19 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Bani Yas U23 (H) 39.2%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -21.6%

Draw 24.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -8.8%

Al Wahda U23 (A) 36.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +13.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bani Yas U23 face Al Wahda U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Monday, August 31, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bani Yas U23 a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Al Wahda U23 37%, so Bani Yas U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bani Yas U23 and 1.4 for Al Wahda U23 (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bani Yas U23 are averaging 1.82 points per game versus 1.32 for Al Wahda U23. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +16.5%. This match finished 2-3.

Bani Yas U23 vs Al Wahda U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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