Today / United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League / Sharjah FC vs Dubai United

Sharjah FC vs Dubai United Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:45

Sharjah FC

PPG 1.06 · HOME

LAST 5

WLWW ·

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Dubai United

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWL ·

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 67% chance

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.8% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-14.9%0-24.1%0-32.2%0-4+1.3%1 1-05.6%1-19.2%1-27.6%1-34.2%1-4+2.5%2 2-05.2%2-18.5%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.2%3-15.3%3-24.4%3-32.4%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-02.3%4+-13.7%4+-23.1%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.7% 69.4% 1.44 -37.1%

Draw 21.7% 23.8% 4.20 -5.3%

Away win 34.6% 18.2% 5.50 +90.3%

Over 2.5 67.8% 66.7% 1.50 +1.7%

Over 3.5 45.0% 45.5% 2.20 -1.0%

BTTS 63.5% 61.7% 1.62 +2.9%

Home O1.5 55.8% 69.4% 1.44 -19.7%

Away O1.5 47.9% 29.4% 3.40 +62.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

H 44% / xG 1.9-1.7 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 2–1 8.5%

#3 1–2 7.6%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sharjah FC1.9

Dubai United1.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.8% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SHARJAH FC · PPG 1.06

DUBAI UNITED · PPG 1.50

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

67%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.21 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Sharjah FC (H) 43.7%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -37.1%

Draw 21.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -5.3%

Dubai United (A) 34.6%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV +90.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sharjah FC face Dubai United in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sharjah FC a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Dubai United 35%, so Sharjah FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Sharjah FC and 1.7 for Dubai United (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sharjah FC are averaging 1.06 points per game versus 1.50 for Dubai United. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +66.5%. This match finished 4-3.

Sharjah FC vs Dubai United Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

More United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Predictions