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Ajman U23 vs Al Jazira U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 13:55

Ajman U23

PPG 2.06 · HOME

LAST 5

WWD ··

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME O1.5

Al Jazira U23

PPG 1.42 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDD ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 48.9% vs bookmaker-implied 56.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-15.7%0-23.9%0-31.8%0-4+0.8%1 1-07.5%1-110.3%1-27.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.8%2-19.3%2-26.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-04.1%3-15.6%3-23.9%3-31.8%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-13.8%4+-22.6%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.4% 47.6% 2.10 -2.6%

Draw 24.3% 27.0% 3.70 -6.0%

Away win 29.3% 37.0% 2.70 -12.5%

Over 2.5 57.4% 65.4% 1.53 -12.2%

Over 3.5 36.7% 44.8% 2.23 -18.2%

BTTS 55.0% 69.9% 1.43 -21.3%

Home O1.5 48.9% 56.2% 1.78 -13.0%

Away O1.5 40.9% 49.0% 2.04 -16.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob55.0%

H 46% / xG 1.8-1.4 / O2.5 57% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 10.3%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–2 7.1%

#4 2–0 6.8%

#5 1–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ajman U231.8

Al Jazira U231.4

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.4% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AJMAN U23 · PPG 2.06

AL JAZIRA U23 · PPG 1.42

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ajman U23 (H) 46.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -2.6%

Draw 24.3%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -6.0%

Al Jazira U23 (A) 29.3%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ajman U23 face Al Jazira U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ajman U23 a 46% chance, the draw 24% and Al Jazira U23 29%, so Ajman U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Ajman U23 and 1.4 for Al Jazira U23 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ajman U23 are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 1.42 for Al Jazira U23. This match finished 1-1.

Ajman U23 vs Al Jazira U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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