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Khorfakkan U23 vs Al Wasl U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:45

Khorfakkan U23

PPG 0.81 · HOME

LAST 5

LDD ··

UPCOMING

Al Wasl U23

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLD ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 64% chance

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 62.0% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-17.1%0-26.5%0-33.9%0-4+2.7%1 1-05.6%1-110.1%1-29.2%1-35.6%1-4+3.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.2%2-26.5%2-34.0%2-4+2.7%3 3-01.9%3-13.4%3-23.1%3-31.9%3-4+1.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.6% 21.1% 4.75 +45.4%

Draw 23.7% 23.8% 4.20 -0.3%

Away win 45.7% 66.7% 1.50 -31.4%

Over 2.5 62.0% 65.4% 1.53 -5.1%

Over 3.5 40.2% 44.1% 2.27 -8.8%

BTTS 61.5% 63.7% 1.57 -3.4%

Home O1.5 39.9% 32.9% 3.04 +21.3%

Away O1.5 50.0% 68.5% 1.46 -27.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 82%

Score Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob61.5%

A 46% / xG 1.4-1.8 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 1–2 9.2%

#3 2–1 7.2%

#4 0–2 6.5%

#5 2–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Khorfakkan U231.4

Al Wasl U231.8

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.0% · O3.5 PROB 40.2%

Form & verdict PPG

KHORFAKKAN U23 · PPG 0.81

AL WASL U23 · PPG 1.30

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

64%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.40 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Khorfakkan U23 (H) 30.6%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +45.4%

Draw 23.7%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -0.3%

Al Wasl U23 (A) 45.7%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -31.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Khorfakkan U23 face Al Wasl U23 in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23 on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Khorfakkan U23 a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Al Wasl U23 46%, so Al Wasl U23 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Khorfakkan U23 and 1.8 for Al Wasl U23 (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Khorfakkan U23 are averaging 0.81 points per game versus 1.30 for Al Wasl U23. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +21.3%.

Khorfakkan U23 vs Al Wasl U23 Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League U23

Match Preview & Prediction

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