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Saint-Etienne W vs Fleury W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 22 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

Saint-Etienne W

PPG 0.70 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Fleury W

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.70)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-117.3%0-214.2%0-37.8%0-4+4.6%1 1-06.4%1-110.5%1-28.6%1-34.7%1-4+2.8%2 2-02.0%2-13.2%2-22.6%2-31.4%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.4%3-10.7%3-20.5%3-30.3%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.3% — — —

Draw 26.9% — — —

Away win 59.8% — — —

Over 2.5 45.8% — — —

Over 3.5 19.1% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 39%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob48.2%

A 60% / xG 0.6-1.6 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 17.3%

#2 0–2 14.2%

#3 1–1✓ 10.5%

#4 0–0 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Saint-Etienne W0.6

Fleury W1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SAINT-ETIENNE W · PPG 0.70

FLEURY W · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.70)

Win probability 1X2

Saint-Etienne W (H) 13.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fleury W (A) 59.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Saint-Etienne W face Fleury W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Saint-Etienne W a 13% chance, the draw 27% and Fleury W 60%, so Fleury W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Saint-Etienne W and 1.6 for Fleury W (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Saint-Etienne W are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 1.70 for Fleury W. This match finished 1-1.

Saint-Etienne W vs Fleury W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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