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Dijon W vs Paris FC W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 19:00

Dijon W

PPG 1.30 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Paris FC W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.30)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-121.1%0-218.0%0-310.2%0-4+6.4%1 1-04.8%1-18.1%1-26.9%1-33.9%1-4+2.5%2 2-00.9%2-11.6%2-21.3%2-30.8%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.2%3-30.1%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 7.8% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 70.3% — — —

Over 2.5 34.8% — — —

Over 3.5 16.0% — — —

BTTS 26.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.4 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob26.2%

A 70% / xG 0.4-1.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 26%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 21.1%

#2 0–2 18.0%

#3 0–0 12.3%

#4 0–3 10.2%

#5 1–1 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dijon W0.4

Paris FC W1.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.8% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

DIJON W · PPG 1.30

PARIS FC W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home AVERAGE (1.30)

Win probability 1X2

Dijon W (H) 7.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paris FC W (A) 70.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Dijon W face Paris FC W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dijon W a 8% chance, the draw 22% and Paris FC W 70%, so Paris FC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.4 for Dijon W and 1.7 for Paris FC W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dijon W are averaging 1.30 points per game versus 2.00 for Paris FC W. This match finished 1-2.

Dijon W vs Paris FC W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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