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Montpellier W vs Saint-Etienne W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 19:00

Montpellier W

PPG 0.70 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Saint-Etienne W

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.70), Away POOR (0.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.3%0-17.7%0-22.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-018.1%1-111.3%1-23.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.3%2-18.3%2-22.6%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.5%3-14.1%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-12.1%4+-20.6%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.7% — — —

Draw 26.5% — — —

Away win 15.8% — — —

Over 2.5 34.9% — — —

Over 3.5 16.0% — — —

BTTS 35.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob35.8%

H 58% / xG 1.5-0.6 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 36%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 18.1%

#2 2–0 13.3%

#3 0–0 12.3%

#4 1–1 11.3%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Montpellier W1.5

Saint-Etienne W0.6

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.9% · O3.5 PROB 16.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MONTPELLIER W · PPG 0.70

SAINT-ETIENNE W · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.70), Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

Montpellier W (H) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Saint-Etienne W (A) 15.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Montpellier W face Saint-Etienne W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Montpellier W a 58% chance, the draw 27% and Saint-Etienne W 16%, so Montpellier W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Montpellier W and 0.6 for Saint-Etienne W (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 36% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Montpellier W are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 0.50 for Saint-Etienne W. This match finished 1-0.

Montpellier W vs Saint-Etienne W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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