Today / France - Feminine Division 1 / Paris SG W vs Strasbourg W

Paris SG W vs Strasbourg W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 22 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

Paris SG W

PPG 1.70 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Strasbourg W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.5%0-21.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-07.5%1-18.2%1-24.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.8%2-19.6%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-06.9%3-17.6%3-24.1%3-31.5%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-07.1%4+-17.8%4+-24.2%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.0% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 45.2% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob58.8%

H 53% / xG 2.4-1.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.6%

#2 1–1 8.2%

#3 2–0✓ 8.8%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 3–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paris SG W2.4

Strasbourg W1.1

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 45.2%

Form & verdict PPG

PARIS SG W · PPG 1.70

STRASBOURG W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.70) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Paris SG W (H) 53.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Strasbourg W (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paris SG W face Strasbourg W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paris SG W a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Strasbourg W 22%, so Paris SG W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Paris SG W and 1.1 for Strasbourg W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paris SG W are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.40 for Strasbourg W. This match finished 2-0.

Paris SG W vs Strasbourg W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More France - Feminine Division 1 Predictions