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Paris FC W vs Lens W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 22 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

Paris FC W

PPG 2.20 · HOME

6 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Lens W

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-11.9%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-09.5%1-15.3%1-21.5%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-013.5%2-17.5%2-22.1%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-012.8%3-17.1%3-22.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-018.1%4+-110.1%4+-22.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 70.7% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 8.7% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 44.1% — — —

BTTS 48.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 6-2

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob48.2%

H 71% / xG 2.8-0.6 / O2.5 62% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.5%

#2 3–0 12.8%

#3 4–0 9.0%

#4 1–0 9.5%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paris FC W2.8

Lens W0.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PARIS FC W · PPG 2.20

LENS W · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away POOR (0.60) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Paris FC W (H) 70.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lens W (A) 8.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paris FC W face Lens W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paris FC W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and Lens W 9%, so Paris FC W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Paris FC W and 0.6 for Lens W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paris FC W are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 0.60 for Lens W. This match finished 6-2.

Paris FC W vs Lens W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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