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Le Havre W vs Nantes W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 22 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

Le Havre W

PPG 0.70 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Nantes W

PPG 2.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-15.9%0-27.3%0-36.1%0-4+6.9%1 1-03.0%1-17.4%1-29.2%1-37.6%1-4+8.6%2 2-01.9%2-14.6%2-25.8%2-34.8%2-4+5.4%3 3-00.8%3-11.9%3-22.4%3-32.0%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 19.1% — — —

Draw 23.5% — — —

Away win 57.5% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 51.5% — — —

BTTS 58.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.5 BTTS prob58.8%

A 57% / xG 1.3-2.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.2%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 1–3 7.6%

#4 0–2 7.3%

#5 0–3 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Le Havre W1.3

Nantes W2.5

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 51.5%

Form & verdict PPG

LE HAVRE W · PPG 0.70

NANTES W · PPG 2.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.20) vs Home POOR (0.70)

Win probability 1X2

Le Havre W (H) 19.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Nantes W (A) 57.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Le Havre W face Nantes W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Le Havre W a 19% chance, the draw 24% and Nantes W 57%, so Nantes W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Le Havre W and 2.5 for Nantes W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Le Havre W are averaging 0.70 points per game versus 2.20 for Nantes W. This match finished 3-3.

Le Havre W vs Nantes W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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