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Marseille W vs Dijon W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 22 ·Wednesday, May 6, 2026, 15:00

Marseille W

PPG 0.40 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Dijon W

PPG 1.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.7%0-111.1%0-28.0%0-33.9%0-4+1.9%1 1-08.6%1-112.5%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.8%2-17.0%2-25.0%2-32.4%2-4+1.2%3 3-01.8%3-12.6%3-21.9%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.2% — — —

Draw 26.7% — — —

Away win 41.2% — — —

Over 2.5 47.7% — — —

Over 3.5 25.6% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 41% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.7%

#3 0–1✓ 11.1%

#4 1–2 9.0%

#5 0–2 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Marseille W1.1

Dijon W1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.7% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MARSEILLE W · PPG 0.40

DIJON W · PPG 1.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.70) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Marseille W (H) 32.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dijon W (A) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Marseille W face Dijon W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Marseille W a 32% chance, the draw 27% and Dijon W 41%, so Dijon W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Marseille W and 1.4 for Dijon W (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Marseille W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.70 for Dijon W. This match finished 0-1.

Marseille W vs Dijon W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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