Today / France - Feminine Division 1 / Fleury W vs Paris SG W

Fleury W vs Paris SG W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 19:00

Fleury W

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Paris SG W

PPG 2.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.7%0-111.9%0-28.2%0-33.8%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.3%1-112.8%1-28.8%1-34.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.0%2-16.8%2-24.7%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.8%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.2% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 43.8% — — —

Over 2.5 44.2% — — —

Over 3.5 23.1% — — —

BTTS 49.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 3 19%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob49.1%

A 44% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 44% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–1 11.9%

#3 1–0 9.3%

#4 1–2 8.8%

#5 0–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fleury W1.1

Paris SG W1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.2% · O3.5 PROB 23.1%

Form & verdict PPG

FLEURY W · PPG 1.50

PARIS SG W · PPG 2.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs Home GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Fleury W (H) 29.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Paris SG W (A) 43.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Fleury W face Paris SG W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fleury W a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Paris SG W 44%, so Paris SG W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Fleury W and 1.4 for Paris SG W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fleury W are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 2.40 for Paris SG W. This match finished 0-2.

Fleury W vs Paris SG W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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