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Partizani vs Teuta Durrës Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Partizani

PPG 1.46 · HOME

LAST 5

DL ···

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Teuta Durrës

PPG 1.21 · AWAY

LAST 5

DW ···

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-111.1%0-24.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-015.0%1-113.2%1-25.8%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.9%2-17.8%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.1%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.2%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% 46.5% 2.15 -3.3%

Draw 27.7% 32.3% 3.10 -8.5%

Away win 27.3% 33.3% 3.00 -10.9%

Over 2.5 42.7% 42.6% 2.35 +0.3%

Over 3.5 20.6% 23.1% 4.33 -6.5%

BTTS 47.6% 51.8% 1.93 -8.1%

Home O1.5 32.4% 39.8% 2.51 -18.7%

Away O1.5 22.8% 31.1% 3.22 -16.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.6%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 15.0%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–0✓ 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.1%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Partizani1.2

Teuta Durrës0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

PARTIZANI · PPG 1.46

TEUTA DURRËS · PPG 1.21

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.31, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Partizani (H) 45.0%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -3.3%

Draw 27.7%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.5%

Teuta Durrës (A) 27.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Partizani face Teuta Durrës in Albania - Superliga on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Partizani a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Teuta Durrës 27%, so Partizani are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Partizani and 0.9 for Teuta Durrës (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Partizani are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.21 for Teuta Durrës. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +1.5%. This match finished 0-0.

Partizani vs Teuta Durrës Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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