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Vllaznia S. vs Flamurtari Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Regular Season - 36 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 14:00

Vllaznia S.

PPG 2.41 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Flamurtari

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-110.2%0-23.5%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.2%1-112.4%1-24.2%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.1%2-17.6%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.5%3-13.1%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 87.0% 1.15 -45.6%

Draw 28.1% 19.2% 5.20 +27.7%

Away win 24.6% 6.3% 16.00 +176.2%

Over 2.5 35.1% 62.5% 1.60 -43.8%

Over 3.5 12.6% 38.2% 2.62 -40.2%

BTTS 47.4% 41.5% 2.41 +14.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 40%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 40%

ROI -61.7%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 42%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.4%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.9%

#2 1–0 18.2%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0✓ 11.1%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vllaznia S.1.2

Flamurtari0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 12.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VLLAZNIA S. · PPG 2.41

FLAMURTARI · PPG 1.00

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.41) vs P(Home)=47.3%

Win probability 1X2

Vllaznia S. (H) 47.3%

ODDS 1.15 · IMPLIED 87.0% EV -45.6%

Draw 28.1%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +27.7%

Flamurtari (A) 24.6%

ODDS 16.00 · IMPLIED 6.3% EV +176.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vllaznia S. face Flamurtari in Albania - Superliga on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vllaznia S. a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Flamurtari 25%, so Vllaznia S. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vllaznia S. and 0.7 for Flamurtari (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vllaznia S. are averaging 2.41 points per game versus 1.00 for Flamurtari. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +176.2%. This match finished 2-0.

Vllaznia S. vs Flamurtari Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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