Today / Albania - Superliga / Tirana vs Vora

Tirana vs Vora Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Matchday 3 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 14:00

Tirana

PPG 1.32 · HOME

LAST 5

LL ···

UPCOMING

Vora

PPG 1.45 · AWAY

LAST 5

WL ···

// Model verdict

BTTS 54% chance

Model probability 50.2% vs bookmaker-implied 55.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-111.0%0-25.9%0-32.1%0-4+0.7%1 1-012.3%1-113.3%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.4%2-18.0%2-24.3%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.0%3-13.2%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.2%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 45.5% 2.20 -20.1%

Draw 27.8% 32.3% 3.10 -8.3%

Away win 35.8% 33.3% 3.00 +7.4%

Over 2.5 46.5% 46.5% 2.15 -0.0%

Over 3.5 26.1% 27.9% 3.58 -3.9%

BTTS 50.2% 55.2% 1.81 -9.1%

Home O1.5 33.0% 42.6% 2.35 -22.4%

Away O1.5 32.6% 35.2% 2.84 -7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 36%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 39%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob50.2%

H 36% / xG 1.2-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–1 11.0%

#3 0–0 10.3%

#4 1–0 12.3%

#5 1–2 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tirana1.2

Vora1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TIRANA · PPG 1.32

VORA · PPG 1.45

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

Chance this pick lands

54%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.13, combined xG 2.28 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Tirana (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -20.1%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.3%

Vora (A) 35.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV +7.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tirana face Vora in Albania - Superliga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tirana a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Vora 36%, so Tirana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tirana and 1.1 for Vora (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tirana are averaging 1.32 points per game versus 1.45 for Vora. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +1.8%.

Tirana vs Vora Prediction— Albania - Superliga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Albania - Superliga Predictions