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Odishi 1919 vs Sioni Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

Odishi 1919

PPG 1.70 · HOME

LAST 5

WWDLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sioni

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.3% vs bookmaker-implied 50.3% — a real, if thin, edge.

+8.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.8%0-16.5%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.8%1-111.3%1-25.4%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.1%2-19.7%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.8%3-15.6%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-13.6%4+-21.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 46.5% 2.15 +12.7%

Draw 24.2% 31.3% 3.20 -13.5%

Away win 23.4% 33.3% 3.00 -17.9%

Over 2.5 53.9% 45.5% 2.20 +18.6%

Over 3.5 31.6% 25.0% 4.00 +26.4%

BTTS 54.3% 50.3% 1.99 +8.1%

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 25.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 57 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 40%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 30.0%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.3%

H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 2–0 10.1%

#3 1–0 11.8%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Odishi 19191.7

Sioni1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 1.70

SIONI · PPG 0.60

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.77 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Odishi 1919 (H) 52.4%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV +12.7%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -13.5%

Sioni (A) 23.4%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -17.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Odishi 1919 face Sioni in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Odishi 1919 a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Sioni 23%, so Odishi 1919 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Odishi 1919 and 1.0 for Sioni (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Odishi 1919 are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 0.60 for Sioni. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +29.6%. This match finished 0-1.

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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