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Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 13:00

Merani Martvili

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Odishi 1919

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.91 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.3%0-22.7%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.0%1-111.0%1-24.7%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.4%2-19.7%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.7%3-15.6%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-13.7%4+-21.6%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.7% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 23.1% — — —

Over 2.5 51.6% — — —

Over 3.5 30.0% — — —

BTTS 53.1% — — —

Home O1.5 49.2% — — —

Away O1.5 21.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 73.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob53.1%

H 53% / xG 1.8-0.8 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–0 11.4%

#3 1–0 13.0%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Merani Martvili1.8

Odishi 19190.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.6% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MERANI MARTVILI · PPG 1.80

ODISHI 1919 · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.91 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Merani Martvili (H) 52.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Odishi 1919 (A) 23.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Merani Martvili face Odishi 1919 in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Merani Martvili a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Odishi 1919 23%, so Merani Martvili are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Merani Martvili and 0.8 for Odishi 1919 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Merani Martvili are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.00 for Odishi 1919.

Merani Martvili vs Odishi 1919 Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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