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Kolkheti Poti vs Telavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Matchday 21 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 14:00

Kolkheti Poti

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

Telavi

PPG 1.22 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.0%0-19.8%0-24.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.5%1-112.9%1-25.7%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.6%2-18.5%2-23.8%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.2%3-13.7%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% — — —

Draw 27.7% — — —

Away win 28.2% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 22.0% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 37.9% — — —

Away O1.5 23.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 55%

ROI 73.3%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob47.7%

H 44% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 11.0%

#3 1–0 14.5%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolkheti Poti1.3

Telavi0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 22.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLKHETI POTI · PPG 1.40

TELAVI · PPG 1.22

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.43, combined xG 2.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kolkheti Poti (H) 44.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Telavi (A) 28.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolkheti Poti face Telavi in Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolkheti Poti a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Telavi 28%, so Kolkheti Poti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Kolkheti Poti and 0.9 for Telavi (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolkheti Poti are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.22 for Telavi.

Kolkheti Poti vs Telavi Prediction— Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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