Today / Vorwarts-Wacker vs T. Wilhelmsburg

Vorwarts-Wacker vs T. Wilhelmsburg Prediction

Tuesday, May 5, 2026

Vorwarts-Wacker

PPG 1.67 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

T. Wilhelmsburg

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.5%0-11.0%0-21.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-01.7%1-13.3%1-23.2%1-32.1%1-4+1.6%2 2-02.8%2-15.4%2-25.4%2-33.5%2-4+2.7%3 3-03.1%3-16.0%3-26.0%3-33.9%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-05.9%4+-111.7%4+-211.5%4+-37.6%4+-4+5.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.3% — — —

Draw 21.1% — — —

Away win 24.6% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 77.5% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob65.5%

H 54% / xG 3.3-2.0 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.0%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 5.4%

#4 2–2 5.4%

#5 4–1 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vorwarts-Wacker3.3

T. Wilhelmsburg2.0

COMBINED 5.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 77.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VORWARTS-WACKER · PPG 1.67

T. WILHELMSBURG · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=54.3%

Win probability 1X2

Vorwarts-Wacker (H) 54.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

T. Wilhelmsburg (A) 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vorwarts-Wacker face T. Wilhelmsburg on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vorwarts-Wacker a 54% chance, the draw 21% and T. Wilhelmsburg 25%, so Vorwarts-Wacker are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for Vorwarts-Wacker and 2.0 for T. Wilhelmsburg (5.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vorwarts-Wacker are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.69 for T. Wilhelmsburg. This match finished 0-0.

Vorwarts-Wacker vs T. Wilhelmsburg Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions