Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Singapore - Premier League Regular Season - 20 Jurong East Stadium· Jurong Tuesday, May 5, 2026 11:30

Tanjong Pagar PPG 0.33

1-2 HIT MostLikelyScore

Hougang PPG 1.67

Home· +57.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Tanjong Pagar face Hougang in Singapore - Premier League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tanjong Pagar a 22% chance, the draw 23% and Hougang 55%, so Hougang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tanjong Pagar and 2.4 for Hougang (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tanjong Pagar are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.67 for Hougang. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +57.7%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 21.8%

Odds: 9.00 EV: +57.7%

Draw 23.3%

Odds: 5.50 EV: +16.9%

Away 54.9%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -31.4%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.5% Odds: 1.25 -24.4%

Over 3.5 50.0% Odds: 1.67 -16.5%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.50 -12.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✔

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 1-3 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 0-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Tanjong Pagar

1.23

Hougang

2.44

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -24.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -24.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+57.7%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home POOR (0.33)