Today / Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg / Victoria H. vs Niendorfer TSV

Victoria H. vs Niendorfer TSV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Hamburg - 22 ·Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 17:00

Victoria H.

PPG 1.80 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Niendorfer TSV

PPG 1.29 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-11.6%0-21.5%0-31.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-02.3%1-14.5%1-24.4%1-32.8%1-4+2.1%2 2-03.3%2-16.5%2-26.3%2-34.1%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.2%3-16.2%3-26.0%3-33.9%3-4+3.0%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-19.1%4+-28.9%4+-35.7%4+-4+4.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 26.9% — — —

Over 2.5 79.5% — — —

Over 3.5 71.1% — — —

BTTS 65.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 66%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob65.5%

H 49% / xG 2.9-1.9 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 6.5%

#2 2–2 6.3%

#3 3–1 6.2%

#4 3–2 6.0%

#5 1–1 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Victoria H.2.9

Niendorfer TSV1.9

COMBINED 4.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.5% · O3.5 PROB 71.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VICTORIA H. · PPG 1.80

NIENDORFER TSV · PPG 1.29

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.29)

Win probability 1X2

Victoria H. (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Niendorfer TSV (A) 26.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Victoria H. face Niendorfer TSV in Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Victoria H. a 49% chance, the draw 24% and Niendorfer TSV 27%, so Victoria H. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Victoria H. and 1.9 for Niendorfer TSV (4.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Victoria H. are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.29 for Niendorfer TSV. This match finished 1-2.

Victoria H. vs Niendorfer TSV Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hamburg

Match Preview & Prediction

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