Today / Egypt - Premier League / Ceramica C. vs Pyramids FC

Ceramica C. vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Championship Group - 6 ·Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 17:00

Ceramica C.

PPG 2.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Pyramids FC

PPG 1.91 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 51.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-111.9%0-26.4%0-32.3%0-4+0.8%1 1-012.5%1-113.4%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.0%2-17.5%2-24.0%2-31.4%2-4+0.5%3 3-02.6%3-12.8%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% 21.5% 4.65 +74.8%

Draw 32.8% 30.8% 3.25 +6.6%

Away win 29.6% 56.8% 1.76 -28.7%

Over 2.5 44.4% 46.5% 2.15 -4.5%

Over 3.5 18.0% 25.6% 3.90 -17.9%

BTTS 52.6% 51.8% 1.93 +1.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 42%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.6%

D 33% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 44% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 13.4%

#2 0–0 11.1%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 0–1 11.9%

#5 2–1 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ceramica C.1.1

Pyramids FC1.1

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CERAMICA C. · PPG 2.00

PYRAMIDS FC · PPG 1.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away GOOD (1.91)

Win probability 1X2

Ceramica C. (H) 37.6%

ODDS 4.65 · IMPLIED 21.5% EV +74.8%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +6.6%

Pyramids FC (A) 29.6%

ODDS 1.76 · IMPLIED 56.8% EV -28.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ceramica C. face Pyramids FC in Egypt - Premier League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ceramica C. a 38% chance, the draw 33% and Pyramids FC 30%, so Ceramica C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ceramica C. and 1.1 for Pyramids FC (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ceramica C. are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.91 for Pyramids FC. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +74.8%. This match finished 1-1.

Ceramica C. vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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