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D. Al Fujairah vs Al Bataeh Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Matchday 24 ·Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 16:45

D. Al Fujairah

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWLL

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Al Bataeh

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLDD

// Model verdict

BTTS 59% chance

Model probability 57.8% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-110.1%0-26.8%0-33.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.3%1-112.5%1-28.5%1-33.8%1-4+1.7%2 2-05.8%2-17.8%2-25.3%2-32.4%2-4+1.1%3 3-02.4%3-13.2%3-22.2%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.3%4+-20.9%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% 26.0% 3.85 +37.8%

Draw 31.9% 30.3% 3.30 +5.3%

Away win 32.3% 52.6% 1.90 -38.6%

Over 2.5 50.5% 52.6% 1.90 -4.0%

Over 3.5 26.3% 31.3% 3.20 -9.5%

BTTS 57.8% 58.8% 1.70 -1.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 33 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 42%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob57.8%

D 32% / xG 1.2-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.5%

#2 0–0 7.5%

#3 1–2 8.5%

#4 0–1 10.1%

#5 2–1✓ 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Al Fujairah1.2

Al Bataeh1.4

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

D. AL FUJAIRAH · PPG 1.00

AL BATAEH · PPG 0.91

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

Chance this pick lands

59%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.91)

Win probability 1X2

D. Al Fujairah (H) 35.8%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +37.8%

Draw 31.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +5.3%

Al Bataeh (A) 32.3%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -38.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Al Fujairah face Al Bataeh in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Al Fujairah a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Al Bataeh 32%, so D. Al Fujairah are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for D. Al Fujairah and 1.4 for Al Bataeh (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Al Fujairah are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.91 for Al Bataeh. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +37.8%. This match finished 2-1.

D. Al Fujairah vs Al Bataeh Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

Match Preview & Prediction

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