Bani Yas vs Al Dhafra Prediction— United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League

United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League Regular Season - 24 Baniyas Stadium· Abu Dhabi Tuesday, May 5, 2026 16:45

Bani Yas PPG 0.82

2-2 MISS

Al Dhafra PPG 0.55

Draw· -0.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bani Yas face Al Dhafra in United-Arab-Emirates - Pro League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bani Yas a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Al Dhafra 25%, so Bani Yas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bani Yas and 1.2 for Al Dhafra (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bani Yas are averaging 0.82 points per game versus 0.55 for Al Dhafra. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 46.3%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -14.3%

Draw 28.3%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -0.6%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -2.1%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 51.6% Odds: 1.80 -7.1%

Over 3.5 30.0% Odds: 3.00 -10.0%

BTTS 58.5% Odds: 1.67 -2.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bani Yas

1.61

Al Dhafra

1.16

Model SuggestionBTTS -2.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -2.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 52%

Score Hit 52%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.82), Away POOR (0.55)