Mumbai City vs East Bengal Prediction— India - Indian Super League

India - Indian Super League Regular Season - 12 Mumbai Football Arena· Mumbai Tuesday, May 5, 2026 14:00

Mumbai City PPG 2.00

1-2 HIT CS4

East Bengal PPG 3.00

Draw· +0.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Mumbai City face East Bengal in India - Indian Super League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mumbai City a 28% chance, the draw 32% and East Bengal 39%, so East Bengal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Mumbai City and 1.4 for East Bengal (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mumbai City are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 3.00 for East Bengal. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +0.1%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.5%

Odds: 2.80 EV: -12.1%

Draw 32.3%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +0.1%

Away 39.2%

Odds: 2.35 EV: -7.9%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 50.0% Odds: 1.95 -2.5%

Over 3.5 22.7% Odds: 3.35 -14.4%

BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-2 ✔

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Mumbai City

1.02

East Bengal

1.41

Model SuggestionBTTS -10.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -10.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+0.1%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs Home EXCELLENT (2.00)