Liaoning Tieren face Chengdu on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Liaoning Tieren a 27% chance, the draw 28% and Chengdu 46%, so Chengdu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Liaoning Tieren and 2.0 for Chengdu (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Liaoning Tieren are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.50 for Chengdu.
Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.00) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.50)