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Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 6 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 11:30

Tanjong Pagar

PPG 0.30 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Hougang

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 64.7% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-15.8%0-27.7%0-36.9%0-4+8.8%1 1-02.5%1-16.7%1-29.0%1-38.0%1-4+10.2%2 2-01.4%2-13.9%2-25.2%2-34.6%2-4+5.9%3 3-00.6%3-11.5%3-22.0%3-31.8%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% 18.2% 5.50 -14.5%

Draw 21.5% 21.7% 4.60 -0.7%

Away win 64.7% 69.4% 1.44 -6.8%

Over 2.5 63.9% 76.9% 1.30 -16.9%

Over 3.5 53.4% 56.5% 1.77 -5.5%

BTTS 59.7% 71.4% 1.40 -16.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 69%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob59.7%

A 65% / xG 1.2-2.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.0%

#2 1–3 8.0%

#3 0–2 7.7%

#4 1–1 6.7%

#5 0–3 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tanjong Pagar1.2

Hougang2.7

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

TANJONG PAGAR · PPG 0.30

HOUGANG · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.30)

Win probability 1X2

Tanjong Pagar (H) 13.8%

ODDS 5.50 · IMPLIED 18.2% EV -14.5%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV -0.7%

Hougang (A) 64.7%

ODDS 1.44 · IMPLIED 69.4% EV -6.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tanjong Pagar face Hougang in Singapore - Premier League on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tanjong Pagar a 14% chance, the draw 22% and Hougang 65%, so Hougang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Tanjong Pagar and 2.7 for Hougang (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tanjong Pagar are averaging 0.30 points per game versus 1.80 for Hougang. This match finished 2-1.

Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Singapore - Premier League Predictions