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A. Niigata (S) vs Tanjong Pagar Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 19 ·Saturday, April 25, 2026, 11:30

A. Niigata (S)

PPG 2.33 · HOME

4 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Tanjong Pagar

PPG 0.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 86.7% vs bookmaker-implied 92.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-11.2%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.9%1-14.1%1-21.4%1-30.3%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.9%2-16.8%2-22.4%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.0%3-17.6%3-22.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-021.5%4+-114.8%4+-25.1%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 86.7% 92.6% 1.08 -6.4%

Draw 9.0% 11.1% 9.00 -19.0%

Away win 4.4% 5.3% 19.00 -16.4%

Over 2.5 76.6% — — —

Over 3.5 57.2% — — —

BTTS 48.1% 54.6% 1.83 -12.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 77%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.1%

H 87% / xG 3.3-0.7 / O2.5 77% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.0%

#2 2–0 9.9%

#3 4–0✓ 9.2%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 2–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Niigata (S)3.3

Tanjong Pagar0.7

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.6% · O3.5 PROB 57.2%

Form & verdict PPG

A. NIIGATA (S) · PPG 2.33

TANJONG PAGAR · PPG 0.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.13) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

A. Niigata (S) (H) 86.7%

ODDS 1.08 · IMPLIED 92.6% EV -6.4%

Draw 9.0%

ODDS 9.00 · IMPLIED 11.1% EV -19.0%

Tanjong Pagar (A) 4.4%

ODDS 19.00 · IMPLIED 5.3% EV -16.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Niigata (S) face Tanjong Pagar in Singapore - Premier League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Niigata (S) a 87% chance, the draw 9% and Tanjong Pagar 4%, so A. Niigata (S) are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for A. Niigata (S) and 0.7 for Tanjong Pagar (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Niigata (S) are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.13 for Tanjong Pagar. This match finished 4-0.

A. Niigata (S) vs Tanjong Pagar Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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