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Hougang vs Tampines Rovers Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 21 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 11:30

Hougang

PPG 0.33 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Tampines Rovers

PPG 2.11 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 67.9% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-15.1%0-28.6%0-39.6%0-4+19.1%1 1-01.2%1-14.2%1-27.0%1-37.9%1-4+15.7%2 2-00.5%2-11.7%2-22.9%2-33.3%2-4+6.5%3 3-00.1%3-10.5%3-20.8%3-30.9%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 10.5% 14.8% 6.75 -17.5%

Draw 21.6% 20.0% 5.00 +4.8%

Away win 67.9% 75.2% 1.33 -9.7%

Over 2.5 61.7% 75.2% 1.33 -17.9%

Over 3.5 60.4% 54.1% 1.85 +11.7%

BTTS 54.6% 65.4% 1.53 -16.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)3.4 BTTS prob54.6%

A 68% / xG 0.8-3.4 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–3 9.6%

#2 0–2 8.6%

#3 0–4 8.1%

#4 1–3 7.9%

#5 1–2 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hougang0.8

Tampines Rovers3.4

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 60.4%

Form & verdict PPG

HOUGANG · PPG 0.33

TAMPINES ROVERS · PPG 2.11

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.11) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Hougang (H) 10.5%

ODDS 6.75 · IMPLIED 14.8% EV -17.5%

Draw 21.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +4.8%

Tampines Rovers (A) 67.9%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -9.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hougang face Tampines Rovers in Singapore - Premier League on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hougang a 11% chance, the draw 22% and Tampines Rovers 68%, so Tampines Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Hougang and 3.4 for Tampines Rovers (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-3. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hougang are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 2.11 for Tampines Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.7%. This match finished 0-1.

Hougang vs Tampines Rovers Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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