Premier League

SINGAPORE · 10 MATCHES TRACKED · 19 APR 2026 – 18 MAY 2026

▲ STRONG-EDGE LEAGUE

MODEL EDGE ABOVE BREAK-EVEN IN THIS LEAGUE

// Model accuracy

How often the model's probability calls were right — graded on all 10 resolved matches, whether or not a bet was published.

70.0%

1X2

7/10

70.0%

O/U 2.5

7/10

60.0%

BTTS

6/10

50.0%

Exact score

5/10

// Published picks

Picks that met publication thresholds, settled at listed odds with a flat 1-unit stake. Separate from raw model accuracy on the left.

Settled

90.0%

Hit rate

9/10

1.27

Avg odds

+12.6%

ROI

+1.3u

Picks by market

FLAT 1U · BREAK-EVEN AT IMPLIED % MARKED ▎· SMALL SAMPLES — READ WITH CARE

HOME WIN · N=4 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.07 · +7.5% ROI

BTTS · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.51 · +51.0% ROI

OVER 2.5 · N=2 100.0% HIT · AVG 1.30 · +30.5% ROI

AWAY WIN · N=2 50.0% HIT · AVG 1.39 · -33.5% ROI

Picks by verdict tier

VERDICTS NORMALIZED INTO CONFIDENCE TIERS · LOW-CONFIDENCE FLAG OVERRIDES

✓ Solid

Bets

100%

Hit

+33.3%

ROI

⚠ Low confidence

Bets

86%

Hit

+3.7%

ROI

Match log

10 RESOLVED · GROUPED BY MONTH · — MEANS NO PICK PUBLISHED

DateMatchPickEVFTResult

May 2026 // 6 PICKS · 5 HIT · 1 MISS

18 MAY Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang Away -7% 2–1 MISS 16 MAY A. Niigata (S) vs Young Lions Home -22% 3–0 HIT 10 MAY Hougang vs Tampines Rovers Away -10% 0–1 HIT 9 MAY Young Lions vs Geylang Over 2.5 -19% 2–2 HIT 5 MAY Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang Over 2.5 -24% 1–2 HIT 4 MAY A. Niigata (S) vs Young Lions Home -9% 1–0 HIT

April 2026 // 4 PICKS · 4 HIT · 0 MISS

30 APR A. Niigata (S) vs Tampines Rovers BTTS -1% 2–1 HIT 25 APR A. Niigata (S) vs Tanjong Pagar Home -6% 4–0 HIT 24 APR Tampines Rovers vs Young Lions Home -0% 8–1 HIT 19 APR Geylang vs Tanjong Pagar BTTS -16% 2–1 HIT