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A. Niigata (S) vs Young Lions Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Singapore - Premier League logo Singapore flag Singapore - Premier League Regular Season - 20 Jurong East Stadium· Jurong Monday, May 4, 2026 11:30
A. Niigata (S) logo A. Niigata (S) PPG 2.50
1-0 MISS
Young Lions logo Young Lions PPG 0.78
BTTS· +16.0% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Niigata (S) face Young Lions in Singapore - Premier League on Monday, May 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Niigata (S) a 85% chance, the draw 10% and Young Lions 5%, so A. Niigata (S) are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for A. Niigata (S) and 0.9 for Young Lions (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 83% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Niigata (S) are averaging 2.50 points per game versus 0.78 for Young Lions. The best value bet our model finds is both teams to score, with an expected value of +16.0%. This match finished 1-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 85.3%
Odds: 1.07 EV: -8.7%
Draw 10.0%
Odds: 7.80 EV: -22.0%
Away 4.7%
Odds: 23.00 EV: +8.1%
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 82.6% Odds: 1.22 +0.8%
Over 3.5 65.7% Odds: 1.50 -1.5%
BTTS 58.0% Odds: 2.00 +16.0%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-0
2nd 4-0
3rd 3-1
4th 2-0
5th 4-1

Expected Goals (xG)

A. Niigata (S)
3.60
Young Lions
0.89

Model Suggestion

Home -8.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-8.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.78) - Strong consensus

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