Geylang vs Tanjong Pagar Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Singapore - Premier League Regular Season - 18 Tampines Stadium· Tampines Sunday, April 19, 2026 11:30

Geylang PPG 1.00

2-1 HIT CS3

Tanjong Pagar PPG 0.14

Away· +153.8% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Geylang face Tanjong Pagar in Singapore - Premier League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Geylang a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Tanjong Pagar 27%, so Geylang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Geylang and 1.1 for Tanjong Pagar (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Geylang are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.14 for Tanjong Pagar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +153.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.6%

Odds: 1.25 EV: -40.5%

Draw 25.4%

Odds: 5.20 EV: +32.1%

Away 27.0%

Odds: 9.40 EV: +153.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.1% Odds: 1.33 -34.7%

Over 3.5 27.2% Odds: 1.83 -50.2%

BTTS 52.4% Odds: 1.60 -16.2%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Geylang

1.54

Tanjong Pagar

1.10

Model SuggestionBTTS -16.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+153.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5/Under 70%

BTTS/No 60%

Score Hit 50%

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs P(Home)=47.6%