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Geylang vs Tanjong Pagar Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 18 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 11:30

Geylang

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Tanjong Pagar

PPG 0.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.4% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-17.8%0-24.3%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.0%1-112.1%1-26.6%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.5%2-19.3%2-25.1%2-31.9%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.4%3-14.8%3-22.6%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.6% 80.0% 1.25 -40.5%

Draw 25.4% 19.2% 5.20 +32.1%

Away win 27.0% 10.6% 9.40 +153.8%

Over 2.5 49.1% 75.2% 1.33 -34.7%

Over 3.5 27.2% 54.6% 1.83 -50.2%

BTTS 52.4% 62.5% 1.60 -16.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob52.4%

H 48% / xG 1.5-1.1 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 11.0%

#3 2–1✓ 9.3%

#4 2–0 8.5%

#5 0–1 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Geylang1.5

Tanjong Pagar1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.1% · O3.5 PROB 27.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GEYLANG · PPG 1.00

TANJONG PAGAR · PPG 0.14

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.00) vs P(Home)=47.6%

Win probability 1X2

Geylang (H) 47.6%

ODDS 1.25 · IMPLIED 80.0% EV -40.5%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 5.20 · IMPLIED 19.2% EV +32.1%

Tanjong Pagar (A) 27.0%

ODDS 9.40 · IMPLIED 10.6% EV +153.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Geylang face Tanjong Pagar in Singapore - Premier League on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Geylang a 48% chance, the draw 25% and Tanjong Pagar 27%, so Geylang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Geylang and 1.1 for Tanjong Pagar (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Geylang are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.14 for Tanjong Pagar. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +153.8%. This match finished 2-1.

Geylang vs Tanjong Pagar Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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