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Tampines Rovers vs Young Lions Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 19 ·Friday, April 24, 2026, 11:30

Tampines Rovers logo
Tampines Rovers
PPG 2.33 · HOME
8 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
Young Lions logo
Young Lions
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 92.4% vs bookmaker-implied 92.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-10.7%0-20.2%0-30.0%0-4+0.0%1 1-05.5%1-12.7%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.3%2-15.0%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.8%3-16.2%3-21.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-031.6%4+-115.2%4+-23.7%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 92.4% 92.6% 1.08 -0.2%
Draw 5.6% 13.2% 7.60 -57.4%
Away win 1.9% 4.3% 23.00 -56.3%
Over 2.5 79.1% 82.0% 1.22 -3.5%
Over 3.5 60.6% 61.7% 1.62 -1.8%
BTTS 37.3% 46.5% 2.15 -19.8%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%
O2.5 70%
BTTS 60%
Score Hit 50%
ROI 12.6%
Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 8-1
xG (home)3.7 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob37.3%

H 92% / xG 3.7-0.5 / O2.5 79% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 12.8%
#2 4–0 12.0%
#3 2–0 10.3%
#4 5–0 8.9%
#5 3–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tampines Rovers3.7
Young Lions0.5

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 79.1% · O3.5 PROB 60.6%

Form & verdict PPG

TAMPINES ROVERS · PPG 2.33

YOUNG LIONS · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
66%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.33), Away POOR (0.88) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Tampines Rovers (H) 92.4%
ODDS 1.08 · IMPLIED 92.6% EV -0.2%
Draw 5.6%
ODDS 7.60 · IMPLIED 13.2% EV -57.4%
Young Lions (A) 1.9%
ODDS 23.00 · IMPLIED 4.3% EV -56.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tampines Rovers face Young Lions in Singapore - Premier League on Friday, April 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tampines Rovers a 92% chance, the draw 6% and Young Lions 2%, so Tampines Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.7 for Tampines Rovers and 0.5 for Young Lions (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 79% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tampines Rovers are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.88 for Young Lions. This match finished 8-1.

PredictVantage

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