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A. Niigata (S) vs Young Lions Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 6 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 11:30

A. Niigata (S)

PPG 2.56 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Young Lions

PPG 0.70 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 72.5% vs bookmaker-implied 93.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.0%0-10.7%0-20.2%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.0%1-12.7%1-20.9%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-07.7%2-15.3%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-010.1%3-16.9%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-027.7%4+-118.9%4+-26.5%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 72.5% 93.5% 1.07 -22.4%

Draw 19.9% 11.8% 8.50 +41.5%

Away win 7.6% 4.8% 21.00 +35.8%

Over 2.5 72.1% 82.0% 1.22 -12.0%

Over 3.5 67.3% 66.7% 1.50 +0.9%

BTTS 51.6% 50.0% 2.00 +3.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)3.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob51.6%

H 72% / xG 3.9-0.7 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0✓ 10.1%

#2 4–0 9.8%

#3 2–0 7.7%

#4 5–0 7.7%

#5 3–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Niigata (S)3.9

Young Lions0.7

COMBINED 4.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.1% · O3.5 PROB 67.3%

Form & verdict PPG

A. NIIGATA (S) · PPG 2.56

YOUNG LIONS · PPG 0.70

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.56), Away POOR (0.70) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

A. Niigata (S) (H) 72.5%

ODDS 1.07 · IMPLIED 93.5% EV -22.4%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 8.50 · IMPLIED 11.8% EV +41.5%

Young Lions (A) 7.6%

ODDS 21.00 · IMPLIED 4.8% EV +35.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Niigata (S) face Young Lions in Singapore - Premier League on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Niigata (S) a 73% chance, the draw 20% and Young Lions 8%, so A. Niigata (S) are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.9 for A. Niigata (S) and 0.7 for Young Lions (4.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Niigata (S) are averaging 2.56 points per game versus 0.70 for Young Lions. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +41.5%. This match finished 3-0.

A. Niigata (S) vs Young Lions Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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