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Young Lions vs Geylang Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 21 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 11:30

Young Lions

PPG 0.11 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Geylang

PPG 1.63 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-110.5%0-210.7%0-37.3%0-4+5.9%1 1-04.8%1-19.8%1-29.9%1-36.7%1-4+5.5%2 2-02.2%2-14.5%2-24.6%2-33.1%2-4+2.5%3 3-00.7%3-11.4%3-21.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 15.5% 16.7% 6.00 -4.2%

Draw 26.2% 21.7% 4.60 +12.3%

Away win 58.3% 71.4% 1.40 -18.4%

Over 2.5 59.3% 73.5% 1.36 -19.4%

Over 3.5 34.4% 51.8% 1.93 -33.6%

BTTS 54.6% 67.6% 1.48 -19.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob54.6%

A 58% / xG 0.9-2.0 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.8%

#2 0–2 10.7%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 10.5%

#5 0–3 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Young Lions0.9

Geylang2.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 34.4%

Form & verdict PPG

YOUNG LIONS · PPG 0.11

GEYLANG · PPG 1.63

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.63) vs Home POOR (0.11)

Win probability 1X2

Young Lions (H) 15.5%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -4.2%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +12.3%

Geylang (A) 58.3%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -18.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Young Lions face Geylang in Singapore - Premier League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Young Lions a 16% chance, the draw 26% and Geylang 58%, so Geylang are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Young Lions and 2.0 for Geylang (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Young Lions are averaging 0.11 points per game versus 1.63 for Geylang. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +12.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Young Lions vs Geylang Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Singapore - Premier League Predictions