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A. Niigata (S) vs Tampines Rovers Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Regular Season - 3 ·Thursday, April 30, 2026, 11:30

A. Niigata (S)

PPG 2.43 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Tampines Rovers

PPG 2.38 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 69.9% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-15.6%0-25.4%0-33.5%0-4+2.7%1 1-04.6%1-18.9%1-28.7%1-35.7%1-4+4.3%2 2-03.7%2-17.2%2-27.0%2-34.6%2-4+3.5%3 3-02.0%3-13.8%3-23.7%3-32.4%3-4+1.9%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-12.2%4+-22.2%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% 37.0% 2.70 -16.8%

Draw 24.5% 28.2% 3.55 -13.0%

Away win 44.8% 44.4% 2.25 +0.8%

Over 2.5 69.0% 66.7% 1.50 +3.5%

Over 3.5 47.6% 45.5% 2.20 +4.7%

BTTS 69.9% 70.4% 1.42 -0.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 10 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 70%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 12.6%

Bet Hit 90%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob69.9%

A 45% / xG 1.6-2.0 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.9%

#2 1–2 8.7%

#3 2–1✓ 7.2%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Niigata (S)1.6

Tampines Rovers2.0

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.6%

Form & verdict PPG

A. NIIGATA (S) · PPG 2.43

TAMPINES ROVERS · PPG 2.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.43), Away EXCELLENT (2.38)

Win probability 1X2

A. Niigata (S) (H) 30.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -16.8%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -13.0%

Tampines Rovers (A) 44.8%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV +0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Niigata (S) face Tampines Rovers in Singapore - Premier League on Thursday, April 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Niigata (S) a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Tampines Rovers 45%, so Tampines Rovers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for A. Niigata (S) and 2.0 for Tampines Rovers (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Niigata (S) are averaging 2.43 points per game versus 2.38 for Tampines Rovers. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.7%. This match finished 2-1.

A. Niigata (S) vs Tampines Rovers Prediction— Singapore - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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