Sydney FC vs Perth Glory Prediction— Australia - A-League

Australia - A-League Regular Season - 25 Sydney Football Stadium· Sydney Saturday, April 18, 2026 09:35

Sydney FC PPG 1.55

0-0 HIT CS5

Perth Glory PPG 1.08

Draw· -1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Sydney FC face Perth Glory in Australia - A-League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sydney FC a 60% chance, the draw 23% and Perth Glory 17%, so Sydney FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sydney FC and 0.8 for Perth Glory (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sydney FC are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.08 for Perth Glory. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.6%

Odds: 1.54 EV: -8.2%

Draw 23.4%

Odds: 4.20 EV: -1.7%

Away 17.0%

Odds: 5.40 EV: -8.2%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 46.5% Odds: 1.55 -27.9%

Over 3.5 25.0% Odds: 2.35 -41.3%

BTTS 45.4% Odds: 1.62 -26.5%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✔

Expected Goals (xG)

Sydney FC

1.73

Perth Glory

0.80

Model SuggestionHome -8.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -8.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.55) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)