Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City Prediction— Australia - A-League

Match Preview & Prediction

Brisbane Roar face Melbourne City in Australia - A-League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brisbane Roar a 34% chance, the draw 31% and Melbourne City 35%, so Melbourne City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Brisbane Roar and 1.0 for Melbourne City (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 32% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brisbane Roar are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.25 for Melbourne City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.6%. This match finished 2-3.