Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Prediction— Australia - A-League

Australia - A-League Regular Season - 26 McDonald Jones Stadium· Newcastle Saturday, April 25, 2026 07:00

Newcastle Jets PPG 1.58

4-0 MISS

Central Coast PPG 1.33

Over3.5· +2.1% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Newcastle Jets face Central Coast in Australia - A-League on Saturday, April 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle Jets a 63% chance, the draw 18% and Central Coast 20%, so Newcastle Jets are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Newcastle Jets and 1.4 for Central Coast (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle Jets are averaging 1.58 points per game versus 1.33 for Central Coast. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 4-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 62.7%

Odds: 1.53 EV: -4.1%

Draw 17.8%

Odds: 4.75 EV: -15.4%

Away 19.5%

Odds: 4.90 EV: -4.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 76.3% Odds: 1.33 +1.5%

Over 3.5 56.7% Odds: 1.80 +2.1%

BTTS 70.0% Odds: 1.40 -2.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Newcastle Jets

2.59

Central Coast

1.42

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +1.5% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+2.1%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 58%

BTTS/No 42%

Score Hit 50%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.58), Away AVERAGE (1.33)